Last year in Baltimore, he transitioned back to being an outside-only wide receiver (87.1%). During his final two seasons in Kansas City, he played 48.2-53.1% of his snaps from the slot. Watkins has more hope of earning a full-time role. This hampers Cobb more as he is strictly a slot wideout with 82.9% of his career snaps coming inside. If you are a slot-only player making the starting lineup, you won’t likely sniff more than a 60-65% snap rate. Green Bay has only run out three or more receivers 55-65% of their snaps in that same period. The Packers have been a 12-personnel-heavy team over the last two years as they ranked second (29%) and tenth (24%) in the usage of the formation. This talking point weighs on Cobb more than Watkins while noting it could affect both. Watson, much like Lazard, is an after-the-catch maven ranking no lower than 17th in YAC per reception over the last three years.īefore we get to Sammy Watkins’ talent profile at this stage of his career, we must first address how he and Randall Cobb might be utilized in 2022. His yards per route run have stacked up well against his FBS counterparts in each season before he blew the doors off in 2021, leading the nation in yards per route run among the 251 FBS and FCS wide receivers in the sample. His non-early declare status is a ding, but we should also be balancing it with a 90th percentile college dominator and 88th percentile collegiate yards per reception ranking. Watson leaves the comfy confines of North Dakota State with a decorated analytic profile. YearĪmong FCS/FBS wide receivers with 50 or more targets (*Statistics referenced per PFF) While the glittering appeal of those spectacles has worn off as we trudge along through the offseason, we need to be reminded that Watson backed up the hype with his production in college. The hype train whistle was blowing furiously in Christian Watson’s favor coming out of Senior Bowl week and after he blew up the combine. More on why this is so important later.Ĭhristian Watson (ADP: WR53, 116.1 overall) Two strong seasons in the YAC per reception department offer hope. Lazard’s ability with the ball in his hands is integral to him actualizing that ceiling. Can he still see an uptick in action and walk away with a solid season? Sure. So, it’s highly unlikely he resides anywhere close to the Davante Adams-esque target share, even with the rosiest of glasses. Lazard has never been a high-volume target earner, even during his best statistical season. Stepping away from the bull case for Lazard and putting his career under the microscope, we find some positives to draw from (2020) and a smattering of underwhelming production.
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*Among wide receivers, minimum 40 targets per Pro Football Focus (PFF) Although, if we want to indulge the demon, the fantasy points per game without Adams would have left Lazard as the WR22 last season. Yes, it’s a small sample, so it’s best to take Lazard’s uptick in the box score as a positive and not biblical scripture when projecting his full-season outlook. The splits for Aaron Jones without Davante Adams have been tossed around a bit, but Allen Lazard’s aren’t too shabby either. Who will step forward as the new apple of Rodgers’ eye? Let’s meet the contestants. Rodgers showed no dropoff as he was the top quarterback in the league in EPA per dropback. Last year Green Bay was 10th in points per game, 11th in points per play, and third in EPA per play while also holding the third-highest offensive success rate in the NFL. If they come close to last year’s production, there will be plenty of fantasy points for this wide receiver depth chart. The Packers likely remain a top offense this year with Aaron Rodgers at the helm. One of the offseason’s big questions is who, if anyone, can step forward and seize the throne.
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With Davante Adams gone, a Grand Canyon-sized hole remains in this passing attack. A Closer Look at the Jets Wide Receivers.A Closer Look at the Texans Running Backs.A Closer Look at the Jaguars Wide Receivers.A Closer Look at the Patriots Wide Receivers.A Closer Look at the Broncos Wide Receivers.A Closer Look at the Patriots Running Backs.A Closer Look at the Dolphins Running Backs.A Closer Look at the Cardinals Wide Receivers.A Closer Look at the Falcons Running Backs.A Closer Look at the Chiefs Wide Receivers.In this installment, Derek Brown takes a closer look at the WR position for the Green Bay Packers.
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In our “Closer Look” series, we’re examining ambiguous, hard-to-read position groups and offering advice on how to handle them in 2022 fantasy football drafts.